John Armenian
No Party Affiliation candidate for California's 30th congressional district · general election Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2026
No Party Affiliation Challenger
John Armenian is running for California's 30th congressional district in the Nov. 3, 2026 general election and filed with the FEC with the party label “No Party Affiliation”. Polymarket’s market on whether an independent wins the race is at 0%. The campaign has reported raising $279K and had $0 in cash on hand through June 30, 2026.
Prediction markets
No Kalshi market listed John Armenian or an independent in this race as of .
bid 0.0¢ · ask 100.0¢ · last trade 0.0¢
“Will another party win the CA-30 House seat?”
This market asks whether any independent wins the race, and John Armenian is the only independent in this race who has reported more than $100,000 to the FEC.
Source: Polymarket market ca-30-house-election-winner, contract 1281134. Total volume $0. Read .
The whole race, as the markets price it
CA-30 House Election Winner
| Outcome | Implied chance |
|---|---|
| Laura Friedman (D) | Resolved YES |
| Scott Meyers (R) | Resolved NO |
| Other | Resolved NO |
| A | Resolved NO |
| B | Resolved NO |
| C | Resolved NO |
| D | Resolved NO |
| E | Resolved NO |
Source: Polymarket ca-30-house-election-winner; read .
Campaign money
Source: FEC candidate summary H6CA30243 (bulk file weball26), reports through June 30, 2026; file published . Figures cover the 2025–26 two-year period and include only what the campaign itself reported.
Money in this race
Candidates the race's prediction markets list, with what each campaign reported to the FEC.
| Party | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Friedman | D | $995K | $521K |
| John Armenian | I | $279K | $0 |
| Scott Meyers | R | $123K | $5,242 |
Source: FEC candidate summaries (bulk file weball26). Party labels from the FEC, or from the market where the FEC record has none.
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How these numbers are made: methodology. Something wrong? Report a correction.