Michael Bahry
Independent candidate for Rhode Island U.S. Senate · general election Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2026
Independent Challenger
Michael Bahry is running for Rhode Island U.S. Senate in the Nov. 3, 2026 general election and filed with the FEC as an independent. Polymarket’s market on whether an independent wins the race is at 0%. The campaign has reported raising $125K and had $93K in cash on hand through Oct. 14, 2026.
Prediction markets
No Kalshi market listed Michael Bahry or an independent in this race as of .
bid 0.0¢ · ask 100.0¢ · last trade 0.0¢
“Will a candidate not listed above win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?”
This market asks whether any independent wins the race, and Michael Bahry is the only independent in this race who has reported more than $100,000 to the FEC.
Source: Polymarket market rhode-island-senate-election-winner, contract 630923. Total volume $0. Read .
The whole race, as the markets price it
Rhode Island Senate Election Winner
| Outcome | Implied chance |
|---|---|
| Jack Reed (D) | Resolved YES |
| Raymond McKay (R) | Resolved NO |
| Person A | Resolved NO |
| Person B | Resolved NO |
| Person C | Resolved NO |
| Person D | Resolved NO |
| Person E | Resolved NO |
| Person F | Resolved NO |
| Person G | Resolved NO |
| Person H | Resolved NO |
| Person I | Resolved NO |
| Person J | Resolved NO |
| Other | Resolved NO |
Source: Polymarket rhode-island-senate-election-winner; read .
Campaign money
Source: FEC candidate summary S6RI00288 (bulk file weball26), reports through Oct. 14, 2026; file published . Figures cover the 2025–26 two-year period and include only what the campaign itself reported.
Money in this race
Candidates the race's prediction markets list, with what each campaign reported to the FEC.
| Party | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Reed | D | $3.7M | $1.9M |
| Raymond McKay | R | $207K | $8,357 |
| Michael Bahry | I | $125K | $93K |
Source: FEC candidate summaries (bulk file weball26). Party labels from the FEC, or from the market where the FEC record has none.
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How these numbers are made: methodology. Something wrong? Report a correction.