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Michael Bridgford

Independent candidate for Iowa's 1st congressional district · general election Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2026

Independent Challenger

Michael Bridgford is running for Iowa's 1st congressional district in the Nov. 3, 2026 general election and filed with the FEC as an independent. As of , Kalshi prices Michael Bridgford’s chance of winning at 0.5%. The campaign has reported raising $338K and had $77K in cash on hand through Oct. 14, 2026.

Prediction markets

Kalshi
0.5% implied chance

24h change: ▼ 0.5 pts · bid 0.0¢ · ask 1.0¢ · last trade 1.0¢

“Will Independent win the House race for IA-1?”

Thin market: under $25,000 traded in total, so small trades can move this price a lot.

Source: Kalshi market HOUSEIA1, contract HOUSEIA1-26-I. Total volume 100 contracts. Read .

Polymarket
No market

No Polymarket market listed Michael Bridgford or an independent in this race as of .

Odds over time

Michael Bridgford: implied chance of winning, by market 0% 2.5% 5% 7.5% 10% Oct Kalshi: 0.5%
Kalshi

Daily closing prices from each platform's price-history endpoint, then this tracker's hourly reads for the last 14 days. Stored in data/history.csv.

The whole race, as the markets price it

Kalshi

IA-01 House winner?

OutcomeImplied chance
Christina Bohannan91.9%
Mariannette Miller-Meeks8.2%
Michael Bridgford0.5%

Source: Kalshi HOUSEIA1; read .

Campaign money

Raised
$338K
Total receipts, 2025–26
From individuals
$84K
Itemized and unitemized
From the candidate
$149K
Contributions plus loans
Spent
$262K
Total disbursements
Cash on hand
$77K
End of the latest report
Debts
$150K
Owed by the campaign

Source: FEC candidate summary H6IA01213 (bulk file weball26), reports through Oct. 14, 2026; file published . Figures cover the 2025–26 two-year period and include only what the campaign itself reported.

Money in this race

Candidates the race's prediction markets list, with what each campaign reported to the FEC.

PartyReports through
Christina BohannanD$9.9M$2.1MOct. 14, 2026
Mariannette Miller-MeeksR$9.1M$1.7MOct. 14, 2026
Michael BridgfordI$338K$77KOct. 14, 2026

Source: FEC candidate summaries (bulk file weball26). Party labels from the FEC, or from the market where the FEC record has none.

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Michael Bridgford odds and money, Independents Tracker

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How these numbers are made: methodology. Something wrong? Report a correction.