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Michael Thurow

Independent candidate for Wisconsin's 6th congressional district · general election Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2026

Independent Challenger

Michael Thurow is running for Wisconsin's 6th congressional district in the Nov. 3, 2026 general election and filed with the FEC as an independent. Polymarket’s market on whether an independent wins the race is at 0%. The campaign has reported raising $195K and had $8,274 in cash on hand through Oct. 14, 2026.

Prediction markets

Kalshi
No market

No Kalshi market listed Michael Thurow or an independent in this race as of .

Polymarket
Resolved NO

bid 0.0¢ · ask 100.0¢ · last trade 0.0¢

“Will another party win the WI-06 House seat?”

This market asks whether any independent wins the race, and Michael Thurow is the only independent in this race who has reported more than $100,000 to the FEC.

Source: Polymarket market wi-06-house-election-winner, contract 1285217. Total volume $0. Read .

The whole race, as the markets price it

Polymarket

WI-06 House Election Winner

OutcomeImplied chance
Glenn Grothman (R)Resolved YES
Brad Smith (D)Resolved NO
OtherResolved NO
AResolved NO
BResolved NO
CResolved NO
DResolved NO
EResolved NO

Source: Polymarket wi-06-house-election-winner; read .

Campaign money

Raised
$195K
Total receipts, 2025–26
From individuals
$176K
Itemized and unitemized
From the candidate
$0
Contributions plus loans
Spent
$187K
Total disbursements
Cash on hand
$8,274
End of the latest report
Debts
$0
Owed by the campaign

Source: FEC candidate summary H6WI06233 (bulk file weball26), reports through Oct. 14, 2026; file published . Figures cover the 2025–26 two-year period and include only what the campaign itself reported.

Money in this race

Candidates the race's prediction markets list, with what each campaign reported to the FEC.

PartyReports through
Glenn GrothmanR$1.2M$616KOct. 14, 2026
Brad SmithD$322K$91KOct. 14, 2026
Michael ThurowI$195K$8,274Oct. 14, 2026

Source: FEC candidate summaries (bulk file weball26). Party labels from the FEC, or from the market where the FEC record has none.

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Michael Thurow odds and money, Independents Tracker

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How these numbers are made: methodology. Something wrong? Report a correction.