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Nadia Milleron

No Party Affiliation candidate for Massachusetts's 1st congressional district · general election Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2026

No Party Affiliation Challenger

Nadia Milleron is running for Massachusetts's 1st congressional district in the Nov. 3, 2026 general election and filed with the FEC with the party label “No Party Affiliation”. Polymarket’s market on whether an independent wins the race is at 0%. The campaign has reported raising $1.6M and had $310K in cash on hand through Oct. 14, 2026.

Prediction markets

Kalshi

No market

No Kalshi market listed Nadia Milleron or an independent in this race as of Nov. 4, 2026, 11:36 UTC.

Polymarket

Resolved NO

bid 0.0¢ · ask 100.0¢ · last trade 0.0¢

“Will another party win the MA-01 House seat?”

This market asks whether any independent wins the race, and Nadia Milleron is the only independent in this race who has reported more than $100,000 to the FEC.

Source: Polymarket market ma-01-house-election-winner, contract 1283642. Total volume $0. Read Nov. 4, 2026, 11:36 UTC.

The whole race, as the markets price it

Polymarket

MA-01 House Election Winner

Outcome	Implied chance
Richard Neal (D)	Resolved YES
Republican Party	Resolved NO
Other	Resolved NO
A	Resolved NO
B	Resolved NO
C	Resolved NO
D	Resolved NO
E	Resolved NO

Source: Polymarket ma-01-house-election-winner; read Nov. 4, 2026, 11:36 UTC.

Campaign money

Raised

$1.6M

Total receipts, 2025–26

From individuals

$62K

Itemized and unitemized

From the candidate

$1.5M

Contributions plus loans

Spent

$1.3M

Total disbursements

Cash on hand

$310K

End of the latest report

Debts

$575K

Owed by the campaign

Source: FEC candidate summary H4MA01091 (bulk file weball26), reports through Oct. 14, 2026; file published Nov. 4, 2026, 06:40 UTC. Figures cover the 2025–26 two-year period and include only what the campaign itself reported.

Money in this race

Candidates the race's prediction markets list, with what each campaign reported to the FEC.

	Party			Reports through
Richard Neal	D	$3.1M	$1.9M	Oct. 14, 2026
Nadia Milleron	I	$1.6M	$310K	Oct. 14, 2026

Source: FEC candidate summaries (bulk file weball26). Party labels from the FEC, or from the market where the FEC record has none.

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<a href="https://theguysaccount.github.io/independents-win-tracker/candidates/nadia-milleron/"><img src="https://theguysaccount.github.io/independents-win-tracker/badge/nadia-milleron.svg" alt="Nadia Milleron odds and money, Independents Tracker" height="20"></a>

How these numbers are made: methodology. Something wrong? Report a correction.