Sarah Zabel
Independent candidate for Idaho's 1st congressional district · general election Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2026
Independent Challenger INC '26 slate
Sarah Zabel is running for Idaho's 1st congressional district in the Nov. 3, 2026 general election and filed with the FEC as an independent. Neither Kalshi nor Polymarket lists Sarah Zabel in a market for this race as of ; the race's own markets are shown below for context. The campaign has reported raising $272K and had $62K in cash on hand through Oct. 14, 2026.
Named to the 2026 Independent Slate presented at the Independent National Convention (Sept. 23–25, 2026). Source: The Fulcrum, Oct. 14, 2026. Listed as a matter of record, not as an endorsement.
Prediction markets
No Kalshi market listed Sarah Zabel or an independent in this race as of .
No Polymarket market listed Sarah Zabel or an independent in this race as of .
The whole race, as the markets price it
ID-01 House winner?
| Outcome | Implied chance |
|---|---|
| Russ Fulcher | 97.3% |
| Kaylee Peterson | 2.6% |
Source: Kalshi KXHOUSERACE; read .
ID-01 House Election Winner
| Outcome | Implied chance |
|---|---|
| Russ Fulcher (R) | 96% |
| Kaylee Peterson (D) | 3.2% |
Source: Polymarket id-01-house-election-winner; read .
Campaign money
Source: FEC candidate summary H6ID01318 (bulk file weball26), reports through Oct. 14, 2026; file published . Figures cover the 2025–26 two-year period and include only what the campaign itself reported.
Money in this race
Candidates the race's prediction markets list, with what each campaign reported to the FEC.
| Party | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Russ Fulcher | R | $848K | $210K |
| Kaylee Peterson | D | $279K | $24K |
| Sarah Zabel | I | $272K | $62K |
Source: FEC candidate summaries (bulk file weball26). Party labels from the FEC, or from the market where the FEC record has none.
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How these numbers are made: methodology. Something wrong? Report a correction.