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Shimon Blau

Unaffiliated candidate for Colorado's 1st congressional district · general election Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2026

Unaffiliated Challenger

Shimon Blau is running for Colorado's 1st congressional district in the Nov. 3, 2026 general election and filed with the FEC with the party label “Unaffiliated”. Polymarket’s market on whether an independent wins the race is at 0%. The campaign has reported raising $204K and had $60K in cash on hand through Oct. 14, 2026.

Prediction markets

Kalshi

No market

No Kalshi market listed Shimon Blau or an independent in this race as of Nov. 4, 2026, 11:36 UTC.

Polymarket

Resolved NO

bid 0.0¢ · ask 100.0¢ · last trade 0.0¢

“Will another party win the CO-01 House seat?”

This market asks whether any independent wins the race, and Shimon Blau is the only independent in this race who has reported more than $100,000 to the FEC.

Source: Polymarket market co-01-house-election-winner, contract 1282866. Total volume $0. Read Nov. 4, 2026, 11:36 UTC.

The whole race, as the markets price it

Polymarket

CO-01 House Election Winner

Outcome	Implied chance
Melat Kiros (D)	Resolved YES
Christy Peterson (R)	Resolved NO
Other	Resolved NO
A	Resolved NO
B	Resolved NO
C	Resolved NO
D	Resolved NO
E	Resolved NO

Source: Polymarket co-01-house-election-winner; read Nov. 4, 2026, 11:36 UTC.

Campaign money

Raised

$204K

Total receipts, 2025–26

From individuals

$179K

Itemized and unitemized

From the candidate

$25K

Contributions plus loans

Spent

$145K

Total disbursements

Cash on hand

$60K

End of the latest report

Debts

$25K

Owed by the campaign

Source: FEC candidate summary H6CO01356 (bulk file weball26), reports through Oct. 14, 2026; file published Nov. 4, 2026, 06:40 UTC. Figures cover the 2025–26 two-year period and include only what the campaign itself reported.

Money in this race

Candidates the race's prediction markets list, with what each campaign reported to the FEC.

	Party			Reports through
Melat Kiros	D	$1.3M	$76K	Oct. 14, 2026
Shimon Blau	I	$204K	$60K	Oct. 14, 2026
Christy Peterson	R	$9,446	$7,393	Oct. 14, 2026

Source: FEC candidate summaries (bulk file weball26). Party labels from the FEC, or from the market where the FEC record has none.

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<a href="https://theguysaccount.github.io/independents-win-tracker/candidates/shimon-blau/"><img src="https://theguysaccount.github.io/independents-win-tracker/badge/shimon-blau.svg" alt="Shimon Blau odds and money, Independents Tracker" height="20"></a>

How these numbers are made: methodology. Something wrong? Report a correction.